What's this all about?

Twenty-five years ago, I ran into a problem.

I left my job helping to build an online brokerage into one of the largest in the nation, and lost access to the data I had been using to invest. I’d spotted times when our clients were panicking (buying and selling) and noticed how often the markets did the exact opposite of what those clients expected.

Losing access to the data left me twisting in the wind. I felt others could benefit from similar data, so I founded a company to aggregate and present it online. Others found it, and we built the company into a widely respected research boutique that has been quoted in every major financial publication worldwide, with many of the world’s largest investors as clients.

I sold that company several years ago and intended to retire and manage our family office. After thousands of published research pieces and writing over 10 million words, I was tired.

But.

I’m not one to rest on my laurels, and I greatly respected the mission that my son Chase was on, building NextGen News. He saw how his peers were being steered by media sources that did not have their best interests at heart. Much of that aligns with what I did in my previous work: identify areas of extrapolated narratives and determine whether it was probable that the masses were correct.

What I’m attempting to do with Capital Context is simple. Whenever I can identify a narrative taking hold in markets, I will use my data, experience, and judgment to make the case for whether it’s likely true or is missing important context.

This isn’t a stock-picking service or a macro guessing guide or a paid newsletter.

I’m only here to provide an objective, balanced take on some of the narratives being pressed in markets. If that makes you money, great. If it saves you money, even better.

There is no set schedule for when these will be published. They will be ad hoc - if there’s something I see and have the data to investigate it, you’ll know.

For many of these concepts, we flesh them out further on the main Capital Context site, which incorporates as much history as we can to determine how these developments have influenced market behavior.

— Jason Goepfert